Author(s): Ziervogel, G.; Cartwright, A.; Tas, A.; Adejuwon, J.; Zermoglio, F.; Shale, M.; Smith, B.
In: Ziervogel, G., Cartwright, A., Tas, A., Adejuwon, J., Zermoglio, F., Shale, M. and B. Smith (2008). Climate Change and Adaptation in African Agriculture. Stockholm: SEI. Report for the Rockefeller Foundation.
Link to SEI author(s):
Climate Change and Adaptation in African Agriculture
This study, commissioned by the Rockefeller Foundation, set out to identify and understand the extent to which, and ways in which, information from climate change models is being integrated into agricultural development practice and decision-making in Africa.
The development of climate projections for Africa is evolving rapidly. General Circulation Models (GCMs) now project climate parameters at a resolution of 250 km2, while downscaled models provide projections at 50km2. The science of climate modeling is complex and efforts to communicate this science to agricultural users remain rudimentary and fraught with what are perceived to be contradictory and unreliable messages. Within the climate science community there is an emerging effort to make findings more suitable for decision making, but as yet there is very little consensus as to how data may be relied on for decision-making.
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Read a policy brief summarising the findings »