Developing SEI’s Scenario Analysis Capabilities

In 2007, SEI began this initiative to develop SEI’s scenario analysis capabilities so that the institute's energy and environmental scenario analysis capability could be applied in a collaborative assessment of GHG mitigation that engages developing country policy makers.

The initial focus was on building up a solid foundation for generating scenarios at various different levels of aggregation within SEI’s LEAP system and conducting outreach to ensure that the initiative’s outputs are highly relevant to policy makers working on energy and climate change policy assessments.

SEI worked on a new system capable of generating both national level and multi-national regional LEAP data sets for energy policy and climate mitigation assessment.

These data sets will help overcome some of the most significant barriers to mitigation assessment by making data readily available and by making analyses much less complex to conduct. They will also make the assessments much more comparable, which has been a significant problem for the UNFCCC.

The project demonstrated its policy relevance through linkages to many other initiatives both internal to SEI (such as examine low carbon scenarios for China) and to the wider community of practitioners working on energy policy and GHG mitigation (such as major study for the US EPA to assess mitigation potential in the six largest developing countries).